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Blog Entries by Frank Nothaft

U.S. Economic Outlook: September 2016

Multifamily Mortgage Lending at All-Time High - 2016 On Track to Set New Dollar-Volume Record

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Dr. Nothaft Video Blog


A comparison of the rental apartment industry with the single-family home sector is like a tale of two cities. The rental market continues to show historic strength while single-family housing activity remains subpar. Rental vacancy rates are at 30-year lows, rents are up, and apartment property values are at new highs. These robust fundamentals, coupled with...

A Walk Down Memory Lane

Thoughts on HPIs and Financial Indexes as The Dow Jones Industrial Average Celebrates Its 120th Birthday

Frank Nothaft    |    Housing Trends

Equity Values Have Exceeded Home-Value Growth

On May 26th, 2016, the granddaddy of all equity indexes—the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)—turned 120. The 30 blue-chip companies that comprise the DJIA have evolved over time –General Electric is the one that has been in the index the longest, since 1907--and today many are no longer in heavy industry. Nonetheless, the DJIA remains a gauge of equity-market...

U.S. Economic Outlook: August 2016

Americans Are Keeping Their Homes Longer - Home Sellers in 2015 Had Owned Their Homes for 10 years

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Dr. Nothaft Video Blog

Buying a home is an important decision and one that incurs large transaction costs – financing charges, moving expenses, recordation and settlement fees are just some of the costs. Because of these, buyers generally plan to own their home for many years.

Prior to the Great Recession and home-price crash, the typical length of ownership had been fairly...

U.S. Economic Outlook: July 2016

Home Mortgage Lending Outlook: Large Annual Swings May Be Less Likely - Purchase Volume More Steady Year to Year Than Refinance

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Dr. Nothaft Video Blog

For most of the last 25 years, large annual swings in home mortgage originations have been common, driven by a refinance boom-and-bust cycle. And while refinance will continue to be an important segment of the market, home purchase is expected to dominate the lending landscape in the coming years. What this means for the lending industry is that mortgage volumes will likely...

Single-family Mortgage Default Rate Falls to pre-Recession Level

Loans Originated After 2008 Have Very Low Default Rates

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Frank Nothaft June Video Clip

Single-family mortgage default rates have fallen sharply over the last few years, and finally this year have retreated to levels last seen prior to the Great Recession. Measuring default by the percent of loans that are seriously delinquent, defined as loans that are at least three months delinquent or are in foreclosure proceedings, CoreLogic has reported that 3.1 percent...

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