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Home Prices Continue to Rise But Some Oil Markets Post Smaller Gains

Nationally Prices Increased Nearly 7 Percent Year Over Year in January 2016

Molly Boesel    |    Property Valuation

  • Home prices including distressed sales increased 6.9 percent year over year in January 2016 and remain 7 percent below the April 2006 peak.
  • Washington had the largest year-over-year HPI growth of any state in January 2016.
  • Appreciation slowed in some oil markets, with Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas logging only a 5.7 percent year-over-year gain and Midland, Texas logging only a 4.3 percent year-over-year gain.

National home prices increased 6.9 percent year over year and by 1.3 percent month over month in January 2016, according to the latest CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI®) Report. While the HPI has increased on a year-over-year basis every month since March 2012, prices are still 7 percent below the April 2006 peak. Adjusting for inflation, U.S. home prices increased 6.5 percent year over year, and are 20.1 percent below their peak[1].

Figure 1 shows the year-over-year HPI growth for the 25 highest appreciating states for January 2016 along with their highest and lowest historical appreciation rates. Washington showed the largest HPI gain of all states in January 2016 with an 11.6 percent year-over-year increase, followed closely by Colorado (+10.9 percent) and Oregon (+10 percent). Colorado was the fastest appreciating state for each of the 12 months of 2015. Two states showed year-over-year depreciation:  Mississippi (-1.3 percent) and Louisiana (-1.1 percent). Nevada home prices were the farthest below their all-time HPI high, still 29.7 percent lower than the state’s March 2006 peak.  

HPI YOY Change

HPI YOY Change

Figure 2 shows the year-over-year HPI change in select oil-patch areas for January 2016 compared with January 2015. Home prices continued to increase in these areas in January 2016, though the rate of increase slowed for Oklahoma, Texas, and two of the Texas metropolitan areas. The slowdown in appreciation was the largest for Midland, Texas, which had a year-over-year increase of 10.7 percent in January 2015, but only a 4.3 percent annual gain in January 2016. Midland has the highest concentration of oil employment of all metropolitan areas in the U.S.

1 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Less Shelter was used to create the inflation-adjusted HPI.

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