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Foreclosure Report Highlights: September 2016

Distressed Homes Inventory Drops 31 Percent Year Over Year

Molly Boesel    |    Mortgage Performance

  • The foreclosure inventory was 78.3 percent below the January 2011 peak in September 2016.
  • The inventory of mortgages in serious delinquency fell 24.8 percent year over year in September 2016.
  • All states except North Dakota and Wyoming had a year-over-year decrease in the serious delinquency rate.

The national foreclosure inventory – the number of loans in the foreclosure process – fell 31.1 percent year over year in September 2016, according to the latest CoreLogic Foreclosure Report. The foreclosure inventory has fallen on a year-over-year basis every month since November 2011 (Figure 1), and in September 2016 it was 78.3 percent below the January 2011 peak.

The foreclosure rate – the share of all loans in the foreclosure process – fell to 0.9 percent in September 2016, down from 1.3 percent in September 2015. While the foreclosure rate is back to 2007 levels, it is still above the pre-housing-crisis average foreclosure rate of 0.6 percent between 2000 and 2006.

Figure 2 shows that, collectively, judicial foreclosure states[1] continued to have a much higher average foreclosure rate (1.4 percent) in September 2016 than non-judicial states (0.5 percent). The collective foreclosure rate in non-judicial states is close to the pre-crisis rate of 0.4 percent, while the foreclosure rate in judicial states is almost double the pre-crisis rate of 0.8 percent.  As of September 2016, judicial states had 42 percent of the nation’s outstanding mortgages but 70 percent of all loans in foreclosure.

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North Dakota was the only state to post a year-over-year increase in foreclosure inventory, rising by 16.7 percent year over year. Despite the rise in foreclosure inventory, the foreclosure rate in North Dakota remained low at 0.5 percent.

The serious delinquency rate – the share of loans 90 or more days overdue – was 2.6 percent in September 2016, down from 3.5 percent in September 2015. The September 2016 inventory of mortgages in serious delinquency fell 24.8 percent year over year and was 72.3 percent below its 2010 peak. The serious delinquency rate fell year over year in all states except North Dakota and Wyoming, where it rose by less than 0.1 percent point in each.



1 In judicial foreclosure states, lenders must provide evidence of delinquency to the courts in order to move a borrower into foreclosure. In non-judicial foreclosure states, lenders can issue notices of default directly to the borrower without court intervention. This is an important distinction since judicial foreclosure states have longer foreclosure timelines, thus affecting foreclosure statistics.

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