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Natural Hazard Risk

Could 2015 be the worst wildfire year on record?

On track for a big year, with more than 8 million acres already burned

Tom Jeffery    |    Natural Hazard Risk

Active Large California Wildfires

One of the more difficult responsibilities for any hazard scientist is to predict what the future holds. Everyone is interested in knowing how many hurricanes will churn through the Atlantic, where the next earthquake will hit or where the next big fire will occur. Unfortunately there are no definitive answers to these questions, which forces us to rely on informed predictive research and...

From Drought to Flood - the Sudden Exchange of One Hazard for Another in Texas

Tom Jeffery    |    Natural Hazard Risk

Among Texans, nearly every conversation about weather over the last several years has focused on the ongoing drought that has resulted in water supply shortages, mandatory restrictions of water use, severe wildfire conditions, and a considerable reduction in recreational lake activities and what were once “waterfront properties”.

But suddenly, the problem is not a lack of...

Hurricane Katrina: A Look Back After Ten-Years

Tom Jeffery    |    Natural Hazard Risk

The Atlantic was active in 2005 from the start of hurricane season. By late August, there had already been 10 named storms, including one Category 4 and one Category 5. Although there was damage from some of these storms, it all paled in comparison to what happened during the last week of August with the 11th named storm of the season.

Hurricane Katrina formed in the Bahamas...

Number of US Homes at Risk of Storm Surge Damage in 2015 Tops 6.6 Million

Total Reconstruction Cost Value of Homes is Nearly $1.5 Trillion

Tom Jeffery    |    Natural Hazard Risk

The U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts have been spared any significant hurricane damage over the past two years. While this is good news for residents living in these areas, it should not be perceived as the new normal.

New data released today by CoreLogic shows there are more than 6.6 million homes on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts at risk of damage from storm surge inundation. The...

Wildfire in 2015: Can Prior Years Tell Us What to Expect?

Tom Jeffery    |    Natural Hazard Risk

The past two years did not result in the amount of wildfire activity that many wildfire scientists, foresters and fire responders had expected. Looking back, the 2013 season had all the earmarks of a bad year, with the continued U.S. drought and related accumulation of dry fuels. The 2014 season saw an enhancement of the drought in many areas and even more trepidation about the potential for...

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