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U.S. Economic Outlook: January 2018

New Home Sales Continue Steady Rise - Metro Areas in the South Led Nation in 2017 Sales

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Frank Nothaft Video Blog

Sales of newly built homes have had a slow, steady recovery during the last several years, and the final quarter of 2017 was on pace to have the highest number of sales in a decade (Figure 1). It’s no wonder that homebuilders’ sentiment was so rosy at year-end.  According to the latest National Housing Market Index, homebuilder confidence in December was the...

U.S. Economic Outlook: December 2017

Peering into 2018: The Outlook for U.S. Housing Markets - Erosion of housing affordability likely to spread to more markets

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

A central theme for the 2018 housing market will be the continuing erosion of housing affordability, an issue that will permeate a growing list of American neighborhoods. Today housing affordability is already a major concern in many high-cost markets, and will spread to more moderate-cost places across the nation. Let’s look at the economic factors that we expect will...

U.S. Economic Outlook: November 2017

Home Equity Wealth at New High

Frank Nothaft    |    Videos

Dr. Nothaft Video Blog November

The latest flow-of-funds data from the Federal Reserve confirmed that home-equity wealth reached a new nominal high this year: $13.9 trillion at mid-2017, $0.5 trillion above the 2006 peak and more than double the $6.0 trillion amount at the trough of the Great Recession.[1]  While several factors will affect aggregate home equity,...

U.S. Economic Outlook: October 2017

Typical “Boom and Bust” Cycles in the Housing Industry

Molly Boesel    |    Videos

Molly Boesel October Video Blog

It has been more than 11 years since the start of the housing crisis in 2006, and U.S. home prices are nearly back to the peak level they hit in April 2006. Looking at the length of the decline, how far prices fell, CoreLogic has compared this cycle to some other historical declines.

After hitting peak in 2006, the national price level fell for five years, finally...

U.S. Housing Policy Outlook: October 2017

Mortgage Fraud Risk is on the Rise

Bridget Berg    |    Videos

Bridget Berg Video Blog

Overall fraud risk increased by almost 17 percent year-over year, and is now at its highest level since CoreLogic created the index in 2010.

Keep in mind, however, that in historical terms, fraud, overall, is still relatively low, given the tighter underwriting since the mortgage crisis, and the amount of rate and term refis over the past few years.


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