Mortgage Delinquency Rate Fell from a Year Ago, Now Close to the Pre-Crisis Level

Loan Performance Insights Report Highlights: February 2018

By Molly Boesel Consumer Behavior, Mortgage Finance

  • Early-stage delinquencies fell year over year
  • Miami and Houston recorded large year-over-year increases in delinquencies in February

In February 2018, 4.8 percent of home mortgages were in some stage of delinquency, down from 5 percent a year earlier and the lowest for any February since 2007, when it was 4.7 percent, according to the latest CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Report. The measure includes all home loans 30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure. For the month of February, the share of delinquent mortgages was highest in February 2010, at 11.9 percent. During the pre-crisis period (average of 2000 to 2006), the share of delinquent mortgages was 4.7 percent.

Current to 30 day transition rate

The foreclosure inventory rate – meaning the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process – was 0.6 percent in February 2018, down from 0.8 percent a year earlier. The foreclosure rate is back to the pre-crisis level of 0.6 percent.

The share of mortgages that were 30 to 59 days past due – considered early-stage delinquencies – was 2.1 percent in February 2018, unchanged from February 2017. The share of mortgages 60 to 89 days past due was 0.7 percent in February 2018, unchanged from February 2017.

States with the highest and lowest rate of mortgages at least 30 days past due

In addition to delinquency rates, CoreLogic tracks the rate at which mortgages transition from one stage of delinquency to the next, such as going from current to 30 days past due. Figure 1 shows that the current- to 30-day transition rate remained well below levels during the housing crisis in February. The rate had increased in recent months, mainly due to the hurricanes along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts. The February 2018 current- to 30-day rate was 0.9 percent, down from 1 percent in February 2017. The 30- to 60-day transition rate was 15.2 percent in February 2018, down from 15.4 percent in February 2017, while the 60- to 90-day transition rate was 24.7 percent this February, down from 24.9 percent a year earlier.

Figure 2 shows the states with the highest and lowest rate of mortgages in some stage of delinquency. In February 2018, that rate was highest in Mississippi at 8.6 percent and lowest in Colorado at 2 percent. Florida had the second-highest delinquency rate of any state at 8.1 percent. The delinquency rate in Florida increased by 2.2 percentage points from a year earlier due to effects from the hurricanes in the late summer of 2017. While Texas was not among the top five states with the highest overall delinquency rate, its rate rose from 5.4 percent in February 2017 to 6.1 percent in February 2018 following Hurricane Harvey.

Rate of mortgages at least 30 days past due for largest 10 CBSAs

Figure 3 shows the 30-plus-day past-due rate for the 10 largest metro areas.[1] Miami had the highest rate at 10.3 percent, increasing from 7 percent in February 2017, while San Francisco had the lowest at 1.7 percent. Both Miami and Houston saw significant increases in delinquency rates from a year ago as a result of the hurricanes, with the delinquency rate in Houston rising from 5.8 percent in February 2017 to 8.6 percent in February 2018.

[1] Metro areas used in this report are the ten most populous Core-Based Statistical Areas.

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