Texas Records First Year-Over-Year Decrease in Overall Delinquency Rate Since Hurricane Harvey

Loan Performance Insights Report Highlights: April 2018

By Molly Boesel Housing Policy, Mortgage Finance

  • The nation’s overall delinquency rate was 4.2 percent.
  • Florida was the only state to post a year-over-year increase in the overall delinquency rate.
  • Miami and Houston recorded large year-over-year increases in delinquencies in April.

 In April 2018, 4.2 percent of home mortgages were in some stage of delinquency, down from 4.8 percent a year earlier and the lowest for any month since March 2007, when it was 4.2 percent, according to the latest CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Report. The measure, also known as the overall delinquency rate, includes all home loans 30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure. For the month of April, the share of delinquent mortgages was highest in April 2010, at 11 percent. During the pre-crisis period (2000 to 2006), the share of delinquent mortgages averaged 4.7 percent.

Current to 30 Day Transition Rate

The foreclosure inventory rate – meaning the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process – was 0.6 percent in April 2018, down from 0.7 percent a year earlier. The foreclosure rate is back to the pre-crisis level of 0.6 percent.

The share of mortgages that were 30 to 59 days past due – considered early-stage delinquencies – was 1.8 percent in April 2018, down from 2.2 percent in April 2017. The share of mortgages 60 to 89 days past due was 0.6 percent in April 2018, unchanged from April 2017.

In addition to delinquency rates, CoreLogic tracks the rate at which mortgages transition from one stage of delinquency to the next, such as going from current to 30 days past due. Figure 1 shows that the current- to 30-day transition rate remained well below levels during the housing crisis in April. The rate had increased in recent months, mainly due to the hurricanes along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, but has since resumed its downward trend. The April 2018 current- to 30-day rate was 0.8 percent, down from 1.2 percent in April 2017. The 30- to 60-day transition rate was 14.8 percent in April 2018, down from 18.6 percent in April 2017, while the 60- to 90-day transition rate was 23.9 percent this April, down from 28.6 percent a year earlier.

States with the Highest and Lowest Rate of Mortgages at least 30 days past due

Figure 2 shows the states with the highest and lowest share of mortgages 30 days or more delinquent. In April 2018, that rate was highest in Mississippi at 7.7 percent and lowest in Colorado at 1.8 percent. Florida had the third-highest delinquency rate of any state at 6.7 percent. The delinquency rate in Florida increased by 1.2 percentage points from a year earlier due to effects from the hurricanes in late summer 2017. Texas, which had also seen increases in the overall delinquency rate since Hurricane Harvey, posted a small decrease of 0.1 percentage points in the overall delinquency rate from April 2017.

Rate of Mortgages at least 30 days past due for largest 10 CBSA's

Figure 3 shows the 30-plus-day past-due rate for April 2018 for the 10 largest metro areas.[1] Miami had the highest rate at 8.5 percent, increasing from 6.6 percent in April 2017, while San Francisco had the lowest at 1.5 percent. Both Miami and Houston saw significant year-over-year increases in their delinquency rates – up 1.4 percentage points in Houston and 1.9 percentage points in Miami.

[1] Metro areas used in this report are the ten most populous Core-Based Statistical Areas.

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