Today Amazon announced their final selection for the location of their second headquarters. In a change to the original plan, Amazon decided to split the location of their new headquarters between two cities choosing New York and Northern Virginia.
Since January, when Amazon announced they had narrowed down the list of North American cities to only 20 locations in consideration to host its second headquarters, CoreLogic has been carefully considering what might put one city above the rest. We initially reported in this blog: Will Amazon Consider Home Price Trends in Their Quest to Find a Second HQ Location?, on the home price changes year-over-year for 19 of the 20 cities (CoreLogic does not follow home price data for Toronto, Canada). Several months later, we asked all of the team members from the Office of the Chief Economist to opine on a city they thought might have the edge over the other finalists on Podcast - CoreLogic Economists Consider Amazon HQ2 Final Cities. Coincidentally, but not surprisingly, Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic, was correct in his prediction that Amazon would likely choose the Washington, DC area. Additionally and most recently, Shu Chen wrote a blog considering Housing Supply and Prices for Amazon HQ2 Finalist Cities. Now that we can look back on the research, it appears that the large share of tech workers, access to airports and public transportation, and lobbying may have been among the factors in the choice of HQ2 site locations.
Employees moving to the area will find the following housing market conditions:
Amazon has already indicated that it will take several years to complete the campus and updates to the surrounding areas for these new locations, but now a different debate may emerge. Will home prices in New York and Northern Virginia spike? Will there be enough housing supply for the new employees? The influx of employees is bound to bring change to the cities and neighboring cities. Infrastructure will most definitely be impacted, and other socioeconomic fluctuations may occur. As changes begin to happen in these new Amazon cities, CoreLogic will continue to monitor them and report any findings in the Insights Blog. Check back here often for updates!
From the Podcast - CoreLogic Economists Consider Amazon HQ2 Final Cities on July 16, 2018:
"I think Amazon should choose the Washington, DC area for their second headquarters. Amazon already has staff here and part of Amazon Web Services is in northern Virginia. Further, Jeff Bezos owns the Washington Post and comes to DC regularly for meetings. The DC area has the largest share of jobs in the tech industry of all the finalists, and has two international airports serving as a springboard for travel to Europe and elsewhere. The proximity to embassies may facilitate discussion with foreign nations over business opportunities and consumer privacy needs. I also think it’s beneficial to have the new headquarters on the east coast because the employees can get to work three hours earlier than in Seattle!" - Frank Nothaft
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