Initial property losses from Eaton and Palisades Fires estimated between $35B-$45B
Read Updates on Southern California Wildfires
- January 16, 2025 – CoreLogic estimates property losses from $35B-$45B
- January 14, 2025 – 16K Properties Within Eaton and Palisades Fire Perimeters
- January 10, 2025 – Wildfire Containment Begins, New Fire Ignites
- January 9, 2025 – Dry Conditions, Santa Ana Winds Fuel Wildfires
- January 8, 2025 – Wildfires Ignite Around Los Angeles; 80,000 People Evacuated
Update: January 16, 2025
CoreLogic estimates the Eaton and Palisades Fires are causing devastating initial residential and commercial property losses estimated to be between $35 billion and $45 billion.
Containment for both of these Los Angeles wildfires is improving but still limited. On the afternoon of January 16, 2025, both fires are less than 60% contained. CoreLogic will provide final insured loss estimates once the fires have been fully contained.
Fire weather concerns are easing for the rest of the week as winds die down, offering a much-needed reprieve from recent hazardous conditions. However, the outlook for next week is more concerning as Santa Ana winds are expected to return.
Current Fire Size and Containment Statistics
- Palisades Fire:
- 23,713 acres burned
- 22% containment
- Eaton Fire:
- 14,117 acres burned
- 55% containment
- Hurst Fire:
- 831 acres burned
- 98% containment
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Team will continue to monitor the Southern California fires and provide updates when available.
Update: January 14, 2025
Massive wildfires continue to rage in the Los Angeles metropolitan area as firefighters work tirelessly to contain the flames. Over 100,000 people have been evacuated.
Santa Ana winds, which have accelerated the spread of these wildfires, are forecasted to persist through Wednesday. While wind speeds are anticipated to be lower than those experienced last week, vegetation remains extremely dry and is highly susceptible to fire.
Current Fire Size and Containment Statistics
- Palisades Fire:
- 23,713 acres burned
- 17% containment
- Eaton Fire:
- 14,117 acres burned
- 35% containment
- Hurst Fire:
- 831 acres burned
- 97% containment
Properties and Reconstruction Cost Value Within Fire Perimeters
As of January 10, approximately 11,838 properties fell within all identified fire perimeters, with an estimated total reconstruction cost of $10 billion.
As of January 13, an estimated 16,636 properties lie within the fire perimeters of the Eaton and Palisades Fires, with a total reconstruction cost of $13.1 billion.
Note that not all properties within the fire perimeter are necessarily damaged by fire. Additionally, properties that are impacted may not have sustained damage equal to their full reconstruction cost value.
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Team will continue to monitor the Southern California fires and provide updates when available.
Update: January 10, 2025
Firefighters continue to battle the massive wildfires in the Los Angeles metropolitan area. The situation is rapidly evolving.
- Palisades Fire
- 20,438 aces burned
- 8% containment
- Over 11,000 structures within the perimeter
- Eaton Fire
- 13,956 acres burned
- 3% containment
- Over 12,000 structures within the perimeter
- Hurst Fire
- 831 acres burned
- 37% containment
- Lidia Fire
- 395 acres burned
- 75% containment
- Kenneth Fire
- 1,000 acres burned
- 35% containment
The red flag warning in the area is scheduled to expire on January 10, 2025, at 6 p.m. PST. Light winds are forecast for Saturday. However, strong Santa Ana winds may develop Sunday evening, and Santa Ana conditions are anticipated to return next week.
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Team will continue to monitor the southern California fires. Updates, including the number of properties and reconstruction value within the fire perimeters and damage estimates, may be provided when the full extent of impact is available.
Update: January 9, 2025
The wildfires in California have rapidly expanded. The Palisades Fire has currently burned 17,236 acres and has quickly become one of the most destructive wildfire events in the history of Los Angeles. While the Woolsey Fire of 2018 was the most destructive in Los Angeles history, the Palisades Fire may exceed its level of destruction.
CoreLogic estimates at least 9,900 structures are within the fire perimeter, and that estimate is likely to grow as the fire perimeter continues to expand. The fire remains at 0% containment.
The Eaton Fire is now at 10,600 acres. CoreLogic estimates that at least 11,700 structures are within the perimeter, and this estimate is likely to increase as well. This fire also remains at 0% containment. The Hurst Fire’s damage currently stands at 855 acres, but it is at 10% containment.
It is important to note the incredibly fluid nature of the current situation. Without any containment and the continued presence of high winds, it is very challenging to estimate the number of structures within the wildfire perimeter.
At 2 a.m. PST, the Palisades Fire was at 2,920 acres, and there were at least 1,600 structures within this area. By 1:17 p.m. PST, the fire had expanded to 15,832 acres, encircling at least 9,700 structures within this perimeter. CoreLogic estimates that over 70% of buildings in the affected area were built before 1985. These older structures are more vulnerable to damage.
Red flag warnings continue to remain in effect over all affected areas. Winds may decrease slightly this afternoon to aid in suppression efforts, but gusts may still approach 60 mph in some areas and extreme fire behavior is still possible. Another round of Santa Ana winds is forecast from this evening until Friday morning. Forecasts show strong north to northeast Santa Ana winds of 30–40 mph with the possibility of gusts up to 70 mph.
Relative humidity is expected to drop to single digits (8–15%) today and Friday to further exacerbate fire conditions. Extremely dry fuels combined with strong winds and low humidity create conditions for rapid fire spread with limited to no suppression capability.
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Team will continue to monitor the Southern California fires. Updates, including the number of properties, the reconstruction value within the fire perimeters, and damage estimates, may be provided when the full extent of impact is more known.
Update: January 8, 2025
The Palisades Fire began on Jan. 7 at approximately 10:30 a.m. PST in Pacific Palisades, California. Fueled by winds reaching speeds of at least 40 mph, the fire rapidly consumed around 200 acres and continued to grow at an alarming rate.
By the morning of Jan. 8, the fire had scorched 2,921 acres with no containment reported. Authorities ordered the evacuation of roughly 30,000 residents as many homes burned.
Officials extended evacuation orders early Wednesday morning, pushing into parts of Malibu — an area still reeling from the devastation caused by the Franklin Fire in December.
Powerful winds and dry conditions are contributing significantly to the situation. Wind gusts could be as high as 90 mph in certain areas (Figure 1), potentially marking the most severe conditions since a 2011 windstorm in Los Angeles County.
In addition to the Palisades Fire, other notable wildfires in the region include the Eaton Fire in Altadena, which has burned 2,227 acres and the Hurst Fire in Sylmar, which has burned 505 acres. Both fires also resulted in the evacuation of many neighborhoods.
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“The Santa Ana winds that are currently driving these fires occur periodically, but the most recent winds are exceptionally strong.”
Dr. Tom Jeffery, senior hazard scientist at CoreLogic
These three active fires remain entirely uncontained. Numerous homes have already been destroyed, though exact numbers are still unavailable. Winds are expected to persist in the 30-50 mph range throughout the day, forcing the grounding of all tanker flights due to unsafe conditions. The fires continue to burn aggressively across all three areas, and forecasts are predicting single-digit relative humidity and strong winds, which will further fuel the flames.
Wildfire Risk in the Region
CoreLogic estimates that there are over 456,000 homes with nearly $300 billion in reconstruction cost value at moderate or greater risk within the Los Angeles and Riverside metropolitan areas.
It is important to note that this data represents the total number of homes and reconstruction cost value within the metropolitan areas at risk in general and is not specific to the current fire events. Data specific to the current fire events may be provided once there are well-defined fire perimeters.
| Metropolitan Area | Number of Homes with Moderate Risk | Number of Homes with High Risk | Number of Homes with Very High Risk | Total |
| Los Angeles | 60,277 | 114,081 | 71,312 | 245,670 |
| Riverside | 44,753 | 83,218 | 82,888 | 210,859 |
| Metropolitan Area | RCV with Moderate Risk | RCV with High Risk | RCV with Very High Risk | Total |
| Los Angeles | $40.7B | $85.6B | $60.3B | $186.6B |
| Riverside | $24.2B | $47.8B | $40.8B | $112.8B |
The maps below show the wildfire risk in the areas of the three major fires in the region. Many properties are in the wildland-urban interface (WUI), which is an area where human development like homes and infrastructure meets or intermingles with natural, undeveloped wildland vegetation. This zone is particularly vulnerable to wildfires due to the proximity of flammable vegetation and human structures.
As urban expansion continues, the WUI zone grows. This increased intermingling of wildland and human development elevates the risk of fire-related disasters. Managing these areas requires a combination of fire-resistant building materials, defensible space around properties, and proactive land management practices to reduce fuel loads. Effective emergency planning, community education, and early detection systems are also critical in minimizing the impact of wildfires in these high-risk zones.
According to CoreLogic’s senior hazard scientist Dr. Tom Jeffery, the area of the Palisades Fire has been classified as abnormally dry since early December, and the area just transitioned to a moderate drought within the last 10 days.
“The area has been drying since the seasonal precipitation that occurred in late 2024,” explained Dr. Jeffery. “The Santa Ana winds that are currently driving these fires occur periodically, but the most recent winds are exceptionally strong, with reported speeds of 50 to 60 mph and greater. This not only drives the fires and embers but also inhibits flying the tanker aircraft and helicopters used to suppress the fires. There have been several small fires in this general area in the past: the 2019 Palisades Fire and the 2017 Topanga Fire. The 2021 Palisades Fire burned 1,203 acres but was located in an undeveloped area north of the Palisades community.”
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Team will continue to monitor the Southern California fires. Updates, including the number of properties and reconstruction value within the fire perimeters and damage estimates, may be provided when the full extent of impact is more known.
Contact: Please email [email protected] with questions about the California wildfires or any CoreLogic event response notifications. Please visit www.hazardhq.com for updates and information on catastrophes across the globe.
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