Your go-to for catastrophe response
Between the wildfires that have been blazing across the United States and hurricane season brewing in the Atlantic basin, 2018 is shaping up to be a busy year. We know things tend to speed up when catastrophes occur, so we want to make sure you’re finding all the information you need to be up to date in one place.
Here you’ll find press releases, explanations of how our data works, and commentary about what kind of damage we foresee based on the particular hazard—be it a hurricane, volcano, earthquake, or beyond.
[NEW] 2018 Wildfire Season Outpacing 2017
Donate: Operation HOPE
CoreLogic has joined Operation HOPE to protect, empower, and restore affected families and businesses from financial catastrophe.
CoreLogic urges you to join us in supporting those affected by making a tax-deductible donation to the HOPE Disaster Fund, the only financial emergency preparedness and recovery service in the country.
Expect To Learn More About:
- The reconstruction cost value (RCV) of a catastrophe. This includes the cost of the parts, labor demand, and even factors in regional pricing differences to come to a sum of what it would take to reconstruct a property. This does not have any relation to housing prices.
- The loss of any natural hazard—the insured portion that will be paid through to recover.
- The damage in dollars associated with the disaster, both insured and uninsured.
Hazard Insight Sources Include:
As wildfires continue to blaze across Northern California from the Carr Fire and Mendocino Complex Fire, here you can find up to date data and information pertaining to the situation.
CoreLogic is monitoring the Northern California fires will continue to provide updates as the situation progresses.
The following stats are current to August 15, 2018.
[NEW] 2018 Wildfire Season Outpacing 2017
Hawaii's Volcanic Eruptions
In May, Hawaii's Kilauea volcano erupted, spilling lava onto plenty of homes and endangering lives on the Big Island.
Here you'll find all there is to know about that catastrophe, a full compilation of our most up to date numbers and data, and a way to reach out to us with any questions you may have.
HousingWire: More than 1,000 homes at risk in Hawaiian volcanic eruption
For questions, analysis or interpretation of the data, contact Alyson Austin at firstname.lastname@example.org or Caitlin New at email@example.com. Data provided may not be modified without the prior written permission of CoreLogic. Do not use the data in any unlawful manner. This data is compiled from public records, contributory databases and proprietary analytics, and its accuracy is dependent upon these sources.
[Blog] The Impact of Getting ITV Wrong
We know that data can get confusing, especially as we begin to put out estimates for reconstruction cost and damage in response to any hazard event.
To help shed some light on a chaotic time, we wanted to help answer some frequently asked questions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is reconstruction cost value (RCV)?
CoreLogic uses its RCV methodology which estimates the cost to rebuild the home in the event of a total loss and is not to be confused with property market values or new construction cost estimation. Reconstruction cost estimates more accurately reflect the actual cost of damage or destruction of residential buildings that would occur from hurricane-driven storm surge, since they include the cost of materials, equipment and labor needed to rebuild. These estimates also factor in geographical pricing differences (although actual land values are not included in the estimates).
What is damage?
Damage is the overall sum of money lost, both insured and uninsured.
What is loss?
Loss, otherwise known as gross loss or ground-up damage, is the insured portion of the damage sum. It is the portion that insurance companies pay out.
Why are there so many different numbers with every press release?
This issue mostly happens with hurricanes as there’s some level of foresight to put out advance notice on numbers.
The costs associated with a hurricane have more to do with the size and the location of the storm. Early on, there are a variety of projected paths of where a storm can go, so we can’t be as certain about the scope of the damage.
It is important to consider a strong hurricane that occurs in a less densely populated area – or even a small storm that tracks through a densely populated area – could generate catastrophic storm surge. When evaluating potential damage, the number of storms that occur is not as significant as the intensity and track of where they occur. As we get closer to landfall, we can have more confidence in the dollar values associated with the storm.
However, numbers can also change for other non-tropical cyclonic phenomena. In the same way, we can be more confident in the precision of our data and its accuracy as we learn more about the event. The better the data over time, the more precise our numbers can be.
With respect to hurricanes, why are there fewer homes and reconstruction dollars associated with Extreme storm surge risk? Why are there so many homes and reconstruction dollars associated with Low storm surge risk?
At CoreLogic, we break down the risk of damage cumulatively. If any hurricane hits, no matter the Category*, it will cause storm surge in the Extreme risk areas. These are homes that typically are closest to the coast and lowest in elevation, thus susceptible to every type of hurricane from Categories 1 to 5. Therefore, their risk of impact is Extreme.
Similarly, the strongest Category 5 hurricane will cause storm surge induced flooding furthest inland. It is listed in the table as Low risk because these hurricanes are the least likely to incur damage, not because they do less damage. However, because a Category 5 hurricane will also cause damage at more vulnerable properties, the cumulative amount of homes affected and the total RCV both increase. These hurricanes affect the same areas that weaker hurricanes do and more.
*Categories are measured on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS).
Why can’t you deliver an estimate of rainfall induced flooding sooner?
In order to develop an estimate about the rainfall, we first need a footprint of where we think the rain is going to fall, and we won’t know that until the storm is conclusive about where it’s going to make landfall and where that path will take it.
What can you tell us about the meteorology behind any natural hazard?
The short answer is…nothing. CoreLogic is a real estate and data analytics company. We don’t make predictions, and we’re not going to be able to tell you whether to stock up on water or canned goods or sweaters or sand bags like a weather man will.
What we can provide is a realistic assessment of how a catastrophe impacts people—their homes and businesses—and what that will look like, both insured and uninsured. We are able to do this with both our highly granular catastrophe models to determine the impact upon properties and with a team of Ph.D.-level scientists who work hard to Get The Whole Story.
Here’s where you’ll find notable archived content of natural hazards in reverse chronological order. 2017 was a record-breaking year, with the first continental U.S. landfall since Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Harvey, Irma, Maria, and Nate brought their own forms of chaos, from storm surge, inland flooding, and devastating winds, causing significant damage and disruption to the lives and livelihoods in the impacted areas.
In addition, 10 million acres were burned away in horrific wildfires, and then before that, cities pummeled by hail.
Multiple record-setting fires occurred in late 2017 in both northern and southern California. There were more fires in 2017 than in any of the previous 10 years combined, and the Diablo and Santa Ana winds contributed heavily to record setting destruction. By the time all was said and done, over 10 million acres had been burned.
The Wildfire Risk Score was used to assess the quantity of structures in the area at greater risk.
Hurricane Nate was the 14th named storm and ninth hurricane of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane season. As a Category 1 fast-moving storm, it moved through Nicaragua, Honduras, and later on after gaining strength, made landfall at the Mississippi River delta near Blioxi on October 8.
Property damage from Hurricane Nate was estimated to be between $650 million and $1.35 billion, of which an estimate $500 million to $1 billion of insured loss was attributed to wind property damage.
Hurricane Maria was the 13th named storm and fourth major hurricane of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane season. Hurricane Maria made landfall on September 20 as a strong Category 4 hurricane. The southeast corner and some beach areas of San Juan, Puerto Rico, saw the strongest winds while the entire island saw at least tropical storm force winds.
Property damage from the wind and rain was estimated to be between $20 billion and $25 billion.
Hurricane Irma was a Category 4 storm that made landfall in South Florida, causing an estimated $14 billion to $19 billion in losses. The track off Hurricane Irma exposed millions of homes to winds at tropical storm force or greater, of which around 175,000 were exposed to extreme winds exceeding 125mph.
To glean more information about the storm, CoreLogic worked with our property data to inventory the homes at risk in Florida with tools such as Storm Surge Risk, Wind Risk, and Flood Risk. These help to determine the dollar value and property count at stake.
Hurricane Harvey was the first landfalling storm in the United States since Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Prior to 2017, Hurricane Katrina represented the most severe hurricane impacting the mainland U.S.
CoreLogic inventoried every property at risk of damage using the Storm Surge Risk Score to determine the amount of home at risk of being impacted by tidal damage. We also utilized our Flood Risk Score to do the same to assess risk in various counties.
Irma Press Releases
9/8/17: MEDIA ADVISORY: CoreLogic Analysis Shows an Estimated 8.5 Million Properties in Florida at Significant Risk of Potential Wind Damage from Hurricane IrmaRead More
CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released data analysis which shows that an estimated 8,456,455 residential and commercial properties in Florida are at either “Extreme,” “Very High” or “High” risk of wind damage from Hurricane Irma.
8/24/17: MEDIA ADVISORY: CoreLogic Analysis Estimates Property Damage from Hurricane Irma Between $42.5 Billion and $65 BillionRead More
According to the data analysis, total insured and uninsured loss for both residential and commercial properties, including damage from both flood and wind, is estimated to be between $42.5 billion and $65 billion.* Of this, an estimated $13.5 billion to $19 billion in insured loss is attributed to damage from wind for both residential and commercial properties.
Harvey Press Releases
8/31/17: MEDIA ADVISORY: CoreLogic Analysis Estimates Total Residential Insured and Uninsured Flood Loss for Hurricane Harvey Between $25 Billion and $37 Billion — Approximately 70 Percent of Flood Damage is UninsuredRead More
According to the data analysis, insured flood loss for homes in the 70-county area in Texas and Louisiana affected by the storm is estimated to be between $6.5 billion and $9.5 billion, which includes inland, flash and storm surge flooding…
8/28/17: MEDIA ADVISORY: CoreLogic Analysis Shows More Than 50 Percent of Properties in Houston at High and Moderate Risk of Flood Are Not in Designated Flood ZonesLearn More
This analysis shows that 52 percent of residential and commercial properties in the Houston metro are at “High” or “Moderate” risk of flooding, but are not in a Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA) as identified by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
8/25/17: CoreLogic Analysis Shows Between $1 Billion and $2 Billion in Estimated Insured Property Loss from Hurricane HarveyLearn More
CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, has conducted an analysis which shows that insured property losses for both residential and commercial properties from Hurricane Harvey are estimated to be between $1 billion and $2 billion from wind and storm surge damage.
8/24/17: CoreLogic Analysis Shows More Than 200,000 Homes in Texas at Potential Risk of Storm Surge Damage from Hurricane HarveyLearn More
According to CoreLogic data analysis, 232,721 homes along the Texas coast with a reconstruction cost value (RCV) of approximately $39.6 billion are at potential risk of hurricane-driven storm surge damage from Hurricane Harvey, based on Category 3 predictions. Current projections do not expect Hurricane Harvey to exceed a Category 3 storm.
During rush hour on May 8, a severe thunderstorm dropped up to baseball-sized hail across the Denver, Colorado, metropolitan area. The Rock Mountain Insurance Information Association (RMIIA) estimated losses to be an astonishing $1.4 billion.
With use of the CoreLogic Hail Verification data, we can assess that the severity of hail in 2017 was similar to the prior 3 years but still well below the 2011 high.
Structural Risk and Valuations
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