More than 1,000 residential properties near Ruidoso, New Mexico are at risk from the Blue 2, Salt, and South Fork Fires.
Multiple, active wildfires in south-central New Mexico potentially impacted approximately 1,300 residential properties with a combined reconstruction cost value (RCV) of nearly $370 million.
The Blue 2, Salt, and South Fork Fires (Figure 1) — the earliest of which started in late May — have burned thousands of acres in New Mexico. The Salt and South Fork Fires continue to burn.
Severe weather over the weekend — including flash floods and landslides — created unsafe conditions, preventing firefighters from increasing containment. The Salt and South Fork Fires have damaged or destroyed structures in the New Mexican community of Ruidoso, according to official sources.
A Major Threat To Residential Property
CoreLogic Hazard HQ Command Central™ estimates that 1,298 residential properties with a combined RCV of $368.2 million are within the wildfire perimeters, as of June 24.
Most of the properties are in Ruidoso, New Mexico, a popular resort town and village with approximately 7,800 residents. All the residential properties lie within the Salt Fork Fire. When compared to the other two fires, the Salt Fork Fire is the largest threat to people and property in and around Ruidoso.
It is important to note that not all properties within the fire perimeters sustained damage. Also, a structure that was damaged may not have sustained 100% loss up to the full reconstruction value. The number of damaged properties will be a subset of the total 1,298 residential properties. The RCV figures presented above represent the cost of completely rebuilding the existing residential structure. The RCV amount includes the costs of materials, equipment, and labor, but does not include the value of the land or lot.
Triple Wildfire Threat: Blue 2, Salt, and South Fork Fires
Lightning strikes started the Blue 2 Fire in the Gila National Forest on May 16, 2024. As of June 12, the fire had burned 7,532 acres and was 91% contained, according to the New Mexico Fire Information. The fire burned in steep and rugged terrain resulting in no damaged or destroyed structures, according to the Southwest Coordination Center.
The Salt Fire is located in the Lincoln National Forest, seven miles west of Mescalero, New Mexico. It has burned 7,816 acres and was only 7% contained as of Monday, June 24, according to the New Mexico Fire Information. Firefighters face extreme fire behavior and spotting as well as limited access and resources. The fire is burning in mixed conifer and ponderosa pine forests and threatens several communities, power lines, communication towers, and watersheds.
The South Fork Fire — the largest of the three fires — is located in the Santa Fe National Forest near Ruidoso. It has burned 17,551 acres and is 37% contained as of Monday, June 24, according to the New Mexico Fire Information website. Firefighters have been conducting burnout operations and constructing fire lines to secure the fire perimeter and protect values at risk, such as homes, campgrounds, and cultural resources.
Both the Salt and South Fork Fires have damaged and destroyed structures in the community of Ruidoso.
Burn Scars Increase Flood Risk
Severe weather and heavy rainfall beginning on June 20 both aided and hindered firefighting efforts. The National Weather Service (NWS) reported over 2.5 inches of rain in 30 minutes. This intense rainfall caused floods and landslides in the burned areas, as well as areas downslope of burn scars. Wildfires burn vegetation, which decreases soil cohesion and limits the soil’s ability to absorb water resulting in decreased surface water infiltration rates. Flash flooding and landslides occur when rainfall rates exceed surface water infiltration rates.
Research from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) indicates that the frequency of post-wildfire landslides will increase, especially in fire-prone, mountainous states. There is a major event occurring once every 10 years. Climate change is partially responsible for this phenomenon. The wildfire season is expected to lengthen, especially in the southwestern U.S., and the rainy season will shorten but the storms will increase in frequency and intensity. This change increases the likelihood of intense rain following a wildfire which creates a dangerous combination for those who reside in communities outside and downslope of wildfire-vulnerable areas.
CoreLogic Hazard HQ Command Central™ will continue to monitor the wildfire damage in New Mexico. Additional updates may be provided if new data becomes available.
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