CoreLogic: Annual Single-Family Rent Growth Decelerates for Fifth Consecutive Month and Seasonal Patterns Return

• Single-family rents increased 10.2% year over year in September, down from 13.9% in April 2022
• Lower-priced rent growth continued at record double-digit annual gains, up 12.1%, while higher-priced rent growth decelerated at the fastest pace since April’s peak
• Florida metros saw the highest single-family rent growth, with Miami posting a year-over-year increase of 20.1%

IRVINE, Calif., November 15, 2022—CoreLogic®, a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released its latest Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI), which analyzes single-family rent price changes nationally and across major metropolitan areas.

Consistent evidence of a single-family rental market cooldown follows nearly two years of above-trend rental price hikes. Year-over-year single-family rent growth slowed for the fifth consecutive month in September 2022 to 10.2%, down from a high of 13.9% in April 2022.  Additionally, rent growth this September was slightly below that of September 2021. The rent increase slowdown comes as inflation stretches tenants’ pocketbooks.

“Annual single-family rent growth decelerated for the fifth consecutive month in September but remained at more than twice the pre-pandemic growth rate,” said Molly Boesel, principal economist at CoreLogic. “High mortgage interest rates may be causing potential homebuyers to hit pause and remain renters, keeping pressure on rent prices.  However, the monthly rent change was negative in September, resuming the typical seasonal pattern for the first time since 2019, which could signal the beginning of rent price growth normalization.”

To gain a detailed view of single-family rental prices, CoreLogic examines four tiers of rental prices. National single-family rent growth across the four tiers, and the year-over-year changes, were as follows:

• Lower-priced (75% or less than the regional median): 12.1%, up from 8.5% in September 2021
• Lower-middle priced (75% to 100% of the regional median): 11.3%, up from 9.4% in September 2021
• Higher-middle priced (100% to 125% of the regional median): 10.7%, up from 10.6% inSeptember 2021
• Higher-priced (125% or more than the regional median): 8.9%, down from 11.1% in September 2021

Of the 20 metro areas shown in Table 1, Miami posted the highest year-over-year increase in single-family rents in September 2022 at 20.1%. Orlando, Florida recorded the second-highest gain at 18.3%, while Boston ranked third at 10.6%. St. Louis posted the lowest annual rent price gain at 5.2%. While rent growth in many fast-growing metros has decelerated compared to last September, return to offices, colleges and cities is driving rent growth higher in other metros where increases were lagging, such as Boston, New York, Chicago and Philadelphia.

Differences in rent growth by property type emerged after COVID-19 took hold, as renters sought standalone properties in lower-density areas. This trend drove an uptick in rent growth for detached rentals in 2021, while the gains for attached rentals were more moderate during this time. “As single-family rent prices continued growing at a rapid pace, preferences for attached rentals began to emerge in early 2022, and by summer had higher increases than detached properties. Attached single-family rental prices grew by 10.7% year over year in September compared to the 9.3% increase for detached rentals,” said Boesel. “However, detached rental price growth is still outpacing that of attached homes on a two-year basis, a respective 22.6% increase compared with 19.6%.”

The next CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index will be released on December 20, 2022, featuring data for October 2022. For ongoing housing trends and data, visit the CoreLogic Intelligence Blog: www.corelogic.com/intelligence.

Methodology

The single-family rental market accounts for half of the rental housing stock, yet unlike the multifamily market, which has many different sources of rent data, there are minimal quality adjusted single-family rent transaction data. The CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI) serves to fill that void by applying a repeat pairing methodology to single-family rental listing data in the Multiple Listing Service. CoreLogic constructed the SFRI for close to 100 metropolitan areas — including 47 metros with four value tiers — and a national composite index. The indices are fully revised with each release to signal turning points sooner.

The CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index analyzes data across four price tiers: Lower-priced, which represent rentals with prices 75% or below the regional median; lower-middle, 75% to 100% of the regional median; higher-middle, 100%-125% of the regional median; and higher-priced, 125% or more above the regional median.

Median rent price data is produced monthly by CoreLogic RentalTrends. RentalTrends is built on a database of more than 11 million rental properties (over 75% of all U.S. individual owned rental properties) and covers all 50 states and 17,500 ZIP codes.

Source: CoreLogic

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About CoreLogic

CoreLogic is a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider. The company’s combined data from public, contributory and proprietary sources includes over 4.5 billion records spanning more than 50 years, providing detailed coverage of property, mortgages and other encumbrances, consumer credit, tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. The markets CoreLogic serves include real estate and mortgage finance, insurance, capital markets, and the public sector. CoreLogic delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and managed services. Clients rely on CoreLogic to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk. Headquartered in Irvine, Calif., CoreLogic operates in North America, Western Europe and Asia Pacific. For more information, please visit www.corelogic.com.

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